Since 2011, 4 state elections have occurred in NSW. Looking at the primary vote of each party and the seats they received at the Legislative Assembly (LA), we can pinpoint 5 informative figures.
Smallest primary vote while forming government
At the 2023 election, Labor won 36.97% of the primary vote. They went on to form a minority government.
Biggest share of primary vote going outside the major parties
In 2023, 27.7% of the primary vote went outside Labor and the Coalition parties. In fact, the Greens (9.7%) and Independents (8.8%) both received a higher share of the primary vote than the Nationals (8.6%) for the first time over this period.
![A graph showing the primary vote for each political formation](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/22efec_798ce9f0eaad41adbea6bcf9b8ac1a57~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_980,h_637,al_c,q_90,usm_0.66_1.00_0.01,enc_auto/22efec_798ce9f0eaad41adbea6bcf9b8ac1a57~mv2.png)
Worst year for Labor, worst year for the Coalition
For Labor, that year was 2011. They received 25.5% of the primary vote and transformed it into 20 seats.
In 2023 the Coalition gathered 36.4% of the primary vote and lost government after 12 years in power. They are left with 36 seats out of 93.
Biggest majority
With 69 seats, the Coalition hold a supermajority following the 2011 election. Although they retained power for the next 12 years, their number of seats decreased at every election since.
Biggest difference between primary vote and seats received
In 2011, the Liberals received 51 seats out of 93 (54.8% of the LA). That's 16.2 extra percentage points compared to their primary vote (38.6%).
The same year the Greens were , in seats, 9.2 percentage points under their primary vote.
But sometimes the primary vote and the seats received are close in percentage. In 2023, the Liberals received +0.1% in term of seats (and one less seat would make the difference greater).
In 2019, the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers party receives -0.3% in terms of seats compared to their primary vote.
The NSW Legislative Assembly since 2011.
Comments